[S39] Recent advances in earthquake forecasting
| Organizer | University of California、IRIDeS, Tohoku University、Statewide California Earthquake Center (SCEC)、Association of Pacific Rim Universities |
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- Earthquake Forecasting
- Machine Learning and AI
- Case Studies and New Technologies
Outline
New technologies like advanced machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) together with signal processing tools that emerged in the past decade have brought a wave of intensified studies of earthquake forecasting, with implications for tsunami forecasting . Recent 2024 earthquakes in Japan, including the January 1 Noto earthquake, and the August 8 Miyazaki/Hyuganada Sea earthquake (with the associated issuance of an official Nankai megaquake alert), emphasize the need for improved methods of forecasting. In addition, fast-expanding datasets due to the installation of dense sensing networks, diversified observations (e.g., acoustic, elastic, remote sensing), injection-induced seismicity from around the world, and high-resolution ML- based catalogs, provide more resources and constraints for studying the earthquake nucleation mechanism. These methods also allow exploration of earthquake precursors and also call for advanced computing architectures and data management plans in their effective usage. These new methods and datasets open the door to multi-disciplinary collaboration in a seamless way. In this session, we welcome the contribution from a wide spectrum of advances in the field of earthquake forecasting and nowcasting including, but not limited to: New data-driven or physics-based ways for forecasting/nowcasting earthquakes; Machine learning and AI-enhanced methods to boost accuracy and reliability; Earthquake forecasting/nowcasting from laboratory to field; Break-through real case studies; Cross-disciplinary studies of earthquake forecasting/nowcasting; New sensing and processing technologies for capturing the precursor signals. We encourage submissions in any or all of these areas. The session will be jointly organized by the Association of Pacific Rim Universities (APRU); the International Research Institute of Disaster Science (IRIDeS) of Tohoku University; and the Statewide California Earthquake Center (SCEC).
